| Subject: |
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Re: yet more bad analysis with good math |
| Name: |
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Ken Reinhart |
| Date Posted: |
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Jun 2, 07 - 6:34 PM |
| Message: |
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Uri;
Lots of stuff left out really, but Wim, while meaning well (get some real numbers to help make decisions), once again concentrates so hard on doing the math correctly that he worries too little about whether he starts his analysis correctly.
A nice way to look at all this, is to consider what would happen if we analyzed our employees' spending habits to determine how much they should get paid. You would end up concluding that everyone who saves money for emergencies or because they know they sometimes have problem months, can take a big paycut. But of course they really can't!
The same goes for time per move. Those of us who are smart enough to save for emergencies (work, family, etc.) don't want our days taken away just because we don't always "spend" them.
But when your math indicates the exact same conclusion that you started out believing to be true, you may want to consider bias rather than luck.... |
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